PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA5c233BE02d2009C9ce9D5c73E6990addB0133D2-1742381557194

0xa5c233be02d2009c9ce9d5c73e6990addb0133d2

Realised P&L
$374.91
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$49.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.085$40.38−$59.61
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1400.044$9.41−$20.59
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.4810.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2104747543$100.00
09-20 16:47Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.1403450559$30.00
07-19 18:16Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999991$200.00
04-27 23:30Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.4809999997$500.00
04-10 14:21Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.7699999985$500.00
04-10 14:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.07$28.44
03-29 11:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.32$130.00
03-29 11:55US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6699999993$200.00
02-28 09:10Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL0.393$193.28
02-22 22:43Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY0.6099999993$300.00
01-13 23:24Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099999968$50.00
10-05 17:00Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.9539999999$290.00
10-04 16:11Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?BUY0.2799999928$25.00
10-04 16:11Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?BUY0.6499999948$100.00
10-04 16:09Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?SELL0.7157676666$290.39