PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zollar

0x62617d56180ac7f9e2a2bec5bb56bd24a6897ce4

Realised P&L
$10.5k
Volume
$720.2k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9150.905$2.6k−$30.68
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6780.660$1.0k−$26.34
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$305.00+$5.00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.265$238.50−$13.50
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$198.63−$3.37
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.0270.072$80.39+$50.39
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1190.007$6.28−$93.72
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$85.98
Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21? · No0.4370.000$0.00−$83.60
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$18.00
ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.5680.000$0.00−$302.00
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$426.36
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$220.00
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$70.00
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$81.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:26Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$202.00
11-01 10:25Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$252.00
11-01 10:20Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$300.00
11-01 10:16Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.678$949.20
11-01 10:15Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.675$85.73
10-26 13:50Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9155244891$4.5k
09-20 16:05Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?BUY0.9423960419$200.00
09-20 16:04Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.1194372923$100.00
09-14 16:30Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0085433575$18.00
09-14 16:25Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0861087289$70.00
09-03 20:41ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999993$52.00
09-03 20:38ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?SELL0.2037410147$313.48
09-03 15:00ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?BUY0.4717549289$100.00
09-03 15:00ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?BUY0.3768895936$500.00
09-03 14:57ChatGPT Outage by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5290728367$250.00