PolyBot

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Traders

0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$136.7k
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6730.760$957.64+$109.94
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9260.967$885.76+$37.52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8670.925$744.63+$47.03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4220.431$366.77+$7.67
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8260.916$343.69+$33.96
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.5610.455$264.41$61.76
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? · No0.9030.993$177.98+$16.04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7570.765$91.80+$1.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.605$71.49+$0.59
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8770.890$71.20+$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7130.835$66.80+$9.73
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3350.325$65.00$2.00
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.7980.889$53.34+$5.43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3350.405$40.50+$7.00
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.3760.410$28.70+$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 05:51Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.54$10.80
08-08 05:42Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.27$18.90
08-08 05:32Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6$59.50
08-07 21:43Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.78$109.20
08-07 21:42Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.78$349.44
08-07 20:51US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?SELL0.52$25.99
08-07 20:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?SELL0.2242693022$57.98
08-07 20:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.9356542178$35.83
08-07 19:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6$207.68
08-07 19:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?BUY0.27$35.00
08-07 19:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?BUY0.26$7.51
08-07 16:12Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.14$2.80
08-07 06:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.88$90.12
08-06 19:30Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.34$6.80
08-06 16:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.57$163.01