0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $136.7k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$720.55at 0.385Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$602.74at 0.738Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$446.00at 0.484Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$369.54at 0.473Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$309.19at 0.557US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:51 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-08 05:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $18.90 |
| 08-08 05:32 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $59.50 |
| 08-07 21:43 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $109.20 |
| 08-07 21:42 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $349.44 |
| 08-07 20:51 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | SELL | 0.52 | $25.99 |
| 08-07 20:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.2242693022 | $57.98 |
| 08-07 20:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9356542178 | $35.83 |
| 08-07 19:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $207.68 |
| 08-07 19:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $35.00 |
| 08-07 19:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.51 |
| 08-07 16:12 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-07 06:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $90.12 |
| 08-06 19:30 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-06 16:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $163.01 |