PolyBot

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Traders

rocky42008

0x79dcb362c47ba851d75cf5873735391b2c81ca77

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$6.35M
Markets traded
3,550
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,550
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9391.000$264.89+$16.03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7750.779$256.30+$1.61
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9770.996$253.73+$4.72
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9120.920$252.22+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · No0.7590.735$250.57$8.32
Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.8610.945$243.68+$21.43
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9710.988$240.05+$4.01
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.8500.835$237.85$4.27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? · No0.5060.425$213.36$40.80
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 18? · No0.4750.535$177.56+$19.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No0.7450.705$155.74$8.78
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? · No0.3730.360$144.03$5.39
Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? · No0.4200.480$129.66+$16.19
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9610.968$110.81+$0.72
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting? · No0.6600.655$107.42$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?SELL0.59$5.90
09-17 19:00Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.45$40.95
09-17 11:48Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18?SELL0.48$2.40
09-16 21:03Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.46$77.74
09-16 01:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 16?SELL0.57$5.70
09-15 22:31Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.81$99.63
09-12 06:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 12?SELL0.47$5.64
09-10 18:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 10?SELL0.5$9.00
09-10 17:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.857$214.25
09-10 08:46Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?SELL0.56$2.80
09-10 07:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?SELL0.55$2.75
09-09 17:13Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on September 9?SELL0.68$38.76
09-08 06:12Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2$10.00
09-08 02:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 8?SELL0.56$5.60
09-07 04:27Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?SELL0.41$13.12