PolyBot

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Traders

QMG-CORE

0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd

Realised P&L
$130.1k
Volume
$18.65M
Markets traded
2,499
Open portfolio
$400.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,499
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.9120.945$22.1k+$771.93
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.949$19.8k−$38.00
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9580.964$15.9k+$97.39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9780.984$15.9k+$103.47
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.966$15.4k+$573.90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9270.945$15.1k+$285.72
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · No0.9810.985$14.8k+$51.12
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9240.977$10.2k+$556.74
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9190.983$9.8k+$627.81
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9690.985$9.8k+$155.44
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.967$9.3k+$339.65
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9590.971$8.6k+$106.45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8790.955$8.6k+$686.76
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? · No0.9920.991$7.9k−$4.93
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9830.983$7.6k+$1.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:14Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.95$646.38
11-01 17:18Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?BUY0.999$111.13
11-01 17:18Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?BUY0.999$2.2k
11-01 17:06Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.96$38.40
11-01 17:06Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.96$38.40
11-01 17:06Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.96$38.40
11-01 17:06Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.96$38.40
11-01 17:05Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.96$38.40
11-01 16:38Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.94$782.93
11-01 14:41Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9588384249$247.64
11-01 14:37Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?BUY0.9872125136$1.4k
11-01 14:22Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.92$38.91
11-01 14:18T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?BUY0.9560212752$142.90
11-01 14:17Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9568639643$591.55
11-01 14:17Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.968456621$636.28