PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8BC2E3c0D1B98fb208Fc083935519F2b3b47FaE1-1777908352009

0x8bc2e3c0d1b98fb208fc083935519f2b3b47fae1

Realised P&L
$-99.74
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$89.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes0.4000.500$12.50+$2.50
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0150.018$11.95+$1.95
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? · Yes0.2880.345$11.60+$1.91
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · Yes0.1500.165$10.33+$0.94
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0430.044$10.18+$0.18
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0120.010$8.46−$1.54
Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes0.6940.500$7.20−$2.80
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.120$4.80−$5.20
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0430.018$4.19−$5.81
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0090.004$4.06−$5.94
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0140.005$3.91−$6.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-29 00:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-29 00:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-29 00:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-29 00:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-28 23:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-28 23:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5499999934$25.00
09-28 23:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-28 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.9399999992$25.00
09-28 23:16Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.9099999993$25.00
09-28 23:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.9399999992$25.00
09-28 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.9199999676$25.00
09-28 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.25$25.00
09-28 22:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.8999999928$25.00
09-28 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.0246364481$25.00