0x8BC2E3c0D1B98fb208Fc083935519F2b3b47FaE1-1777908352009
0x8bc2e3c0d1b98fb208fc083935519f2b3b47fae1
- Realised P&L
- $-99.74
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $89.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.500 | $12.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.018 | $11.95 | +$1.95 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.345 | $11.60 | +$1.91 |
| Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.165 | $10.33 | +$0.94 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.044 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.010 | $8.46 | −$1.54 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes | 0.694 | 0.500 | $7.20 | −$2.80 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.120 | $4.80 | −$5.20 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.018 | $4.19 | −$5.81 |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $4.06 | −$5.94 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.005 | $3.91 | −$6.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.13at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$23.16at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$14.74at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$7.94at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 23:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999676 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.0246364481 | $25.00 |