PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.07 to 0.26. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.154040
0.16243283
0.1745328
0.19343670
0.24234904
0.2570974
0.63301,004
0.642001,204
0.651,8293,033
0.692,5815,613
0.743,0778,690
0.784,00012,690

Spread0.03Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12286286
0.11148434
0.10116550
0.0940590
0.07200790
0.0476866
0.0142908

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88286286
0.89148434
0.90116550
0.9140590
0.93200790
0.9676866
0.9942908

Spread0.03Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.854040
0.84243283
0.8345328
0.81343670
0.76234904
0.7570974
0.37301,004
0.362001,204
0.351,8293,033
0.312,5815,613
0.263,0778,690
0.224,00012,690

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Started-with-20-USDYes220
sunnynotbunnyYes127.94
GuyFromTinderYes98.18
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794Yes73
alamedamemolaYes70
0x3a9d…f332Yes48.2
itsjustcheddarYes40.24
0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568Yes40
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes30
kirby26Yes23
nana130299Yes20
vasiksimYes20
2B9SYes7
bjproloYes6.21
0x4629…f3b1Yes4.76
80fA5eYes1
0xa5ef…2966No771.93
PPMTNo30
lolzzzlolNo18.19
AJSVNo9.93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:59:44BUYYes0.1243$5.10
15:33:08BUYYes0.1450$7.00
15:29:51BUYYes0.166792451778$13.00
13:21:21SELLYes0.12$0.18
13:09:41SELLYes0.1120$2.20
11:51:44BUYYes0.151$5.05
11:51:35BUYYes0.215$1.05
11:51:33BUYYes0.1220$2.40
07:51:18BUYNo0.8620$17.20
07:51:00SELLYes0.145$0.73
01:04:06SELLNo0.8720$17.38
01:03:57BUYYes0.1220$2.40
01:03:57BUYYes0.109999999122$2.40
01:03:56BUYYes0.1173$8.03
15:12:26BUYNo0.921$18.90
15:12:18SELLNo0.921$18.90
14:51:42BUYYes0.140$4.00
20:37:47BUYYes0.110$1.02
17:04:11SELLNo0.881$1.06
15:13:37SELLYes0.220$4.00
15:13:32SELLYes0.220$4.00
15:07:50BUYYes0.208757392540$8.40
15:07:49BUYYes0.2133$6.93
15:06:19BUYNo0.912841065420$18.25
15:06:17BUYNo0.819999999121$17.40