0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527
0x5f3ee9c40be255d1c18ca38bf4ab94b564c75337
- Realised P&L
- $-19.5k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 9,535
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,535
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.153US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.0kat 0.068Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
- +$765.92at 0.062Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
- +$737.57at 0.230Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$623.69at 0.230Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:52 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.176 | $14.61 |
| 10-31 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.27 | $11.21 |
| 10-31 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.59 |
| 10-31 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.25 | $10.50 |
| 10-31 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.5870762712 | $12.47 |
| 10-31 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.51 | $21.42 |
| 10-31 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3773571429 | $7.92 |
| 10-31 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3404761905 | $7.15 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.5 | $9.30 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.76 |
| 10-31 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 10-31 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.4700047642 | $9.87 |
| 10-31 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.094952381 | $1.99 |
| 10-31 07:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 10-31 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.66 |