PolyBot

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Traders

alamedamemola

0x037b1f854b0cd92dab0decc174a12e906d5da36f

Realised P&L
$118.35
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will “Pinky Up” by Katseye win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.8590.860$215.95+$0.20
Will Character Select Agency Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award? · No0.9060.978$193.28+$14.14
Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.8000.925$180.38+$24.38
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · Yes0.8551.000$160.00+$23.20
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.3760.500$121.86+$30.17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? · Yes0.6801.000$99.99+$32.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · Yes0.7900.910$91.00+$12.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes0.7820.897$89.75+$11.55
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25? · Yes0.1070.588$58.75+$48.03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · Yes0.8870.850$50.28−$2.21
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027? · Yes0.5500.705$42.29+$9.30
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.3500.370$37.00+$2.00
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6200.340$34.00−$28.00
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? · Yes0.3500.315$31.50−$3.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2570.245$24.50−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:14Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on September 25?BUY0.09$9.00
09-24 15:13Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25?BUY0.10724$10.72
09-24 15:13Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25?BUY0.35$35.00
09-24 14:58Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September?BUY0.95$142.50
09-24 12:34Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.782$78.20
09-24 12:30Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?BUY0.79$79.00
09-24 12:25Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?BUY0.8873879966$52.49
09-24 12:24Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?BUY0.855$136.80
09-24 11:43Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.25$15.00
09-23 17:31Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027?BUY0.68$67.99
09-23 12:45Will “Aperture” by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.911$45.55
09-20 17:53Will “Pinky Up” by Katseye win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.8592074871$215.75
09-20 17:07Will “Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.1588653441$29.39
09-20 17:02Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.8$156.00
09-20 16:18Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.3762137417$136.83