alamedamemola
0x037b1f854b0cd92dab0decc174a12e906d5da36f
- Realised P&L
- $118.35
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.860Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$6.11at 0.952Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September?
- +$-1.40at 0.570Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:14 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on September 25? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-24 15:13 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on September 25? | BUY | 0.10724 | $10.72 |
| 09-24 15:13 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 09-24 14:58 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.42% in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $142.50 |
| 09-24 12:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.782 | $78.20 |
| 09-24 12:30 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 09-24 12:25 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8873879966 | $52.49 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.855 | $136.80 |
| 09-24 11:43 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 17:31 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 09-23 12:45 | Will “Aperture” by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.911 | $45.55 |
| 09-20 17:53 | Will “Pinky Up” by Katseye win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.8592074871 | $215.75 |
| 09-20 17:07 | Will “Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.1588653441 | $29.39 |
| 09-20 17:02 | Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.8 | $156.00 |
| 09-20 16:18 | Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.3762137417 | $136.83 |