0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568
0x1b15d2193e4eac1ddda50fd22511c511235196d4
- Realised P&L
- $-673.00
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $63.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.53at 0.400Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?
- +$21.13at 0.437Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?
- +$19.41at 0.340UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$17.87at 0.527Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
- +$16.82at 0.602Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:12 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.51 |
| 10-01 19:10 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.2682071429 | $3.75 |
| 09-24 14:53 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.50 |
| 09-24 14:52 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 09-24 14:51 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 14:50 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.76 |
| 09-13 18:41 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.38 |
| 09-13 18:40 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.84 |
| 09-13 18:40 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.80 |
| 09-11 18:41 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.93 |
| 09-06 19:47 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-06 19:46 | Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.06 |
| 09-06 19:45 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.1453596296 | $2.60 |
| 09-02 20:09 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 09-02 20:07 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.108999913 | $1.10 |