PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568

0x1b15d2193e4eac1ddda50fd22511c511235196d4

Realised P&L
$-673.00
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$63.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2700.195$14.44−$5.56
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1000.043$11.00−$14.57
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? · No0.4100.770$8.47+$3.96
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0380.005$7.96−$47.78
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11? · Yes0.2680.450$6.30+$2.55
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3400.415$5.81+$1.05
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · Yes0.1800.105$5.77−$4.12
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.1000.085$3.40−$0.60
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.2700.043$0.77−$4.09
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$3.38
Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$29.41
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$10.00
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.46
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 19:12Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?BUY0.41$4.51
10-01 19:10Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?BUY0.2682071429$3.75
09-24 14:530 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.18$4.50
09-24 14:52Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.27$4.86
09-24 14:51Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.1$4.00
09-24 14:50Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.34$4.76
09-13 18:41Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.13$3.38
09-13 18:40Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.24$3.84
09-13 18:40Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.3$4.80
09-11 18:41Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?SELL0.22$3.93
09-06 19:47Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?BUY0.08$1.60
09-06 19:46Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?BUY0.29$4.06
09-06 19:45Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.1453596296$2.60
09-02 20:09Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?SELL0.56$4.48
09-02 20:07Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?BUY0.108999913$1.10