PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

itsjustcheddar

0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0

Realised P&L
$12.2k
Volume
$2.74M
Markets traded
14,833
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,833
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.4360.502$181.21+$23.81
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · Yes0.4170.594$112.86+$33.62
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · Yes0.1660.252$97.67+$33.01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.855$94.05+$39.05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0930.247$81.66+$50.89
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? · Yes0.1970.215$78.90+$6.56
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4690.145$78.59$175.83
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1300.655$74.52+$59.79
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · San Francisco Giants0.4840.495$72.78+$1.63
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.2000.909$72.72+$56.72
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9980.999$69.89+$0.03
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9980.999$69.89+$0.03
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9980.998$69.86+$0.00
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.9980.998$69.86+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat? · Yes0.5000.920$66.42+$30.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BUY0.479$38.32
08-02 15:32Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election?BUY0.018$1.44
08-02 15:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?BUY0.193$15.05
08-02 15:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?BUY0.06$4.80
08-02 15:32Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?BUY0.04$3.20
08-02 15:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.15$12.00
08-02 12:09Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.24$2.40
08-02 12:09Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.27$2.70
08-02 12:09Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.14$1.40
08-02 12:09Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
08-02 01:58Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?BUY0.081$8.91
08-02 01:58Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BUY0.372$40.92
08-02 01:58Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?BUY0.1038058178$11.88
08-02 01:58Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?BUY0.026483693$2.97
08-02 01:58Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?BUY0.24$26.40