Started-with-20-USD
0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050
- Realised P&L
- $46.7k
- Volume
- $947.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,167
- Open portfolio
- $23.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded3,167
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.374Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
- +$1.1kat 0.168Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31?
- +$958.54at 0.335Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
- +$785.61at 0.844Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
- +$754.34at 0.247Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:11 | Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.61 | $245.74 |
| 09-16 21:08 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September? | BUY | 0.8666527795 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 19:44 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? | BUY | 0.642739726 | $46.92 |
| 09-16 19:14 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? | SELL | 0.24 | $19.94 |
| 09-16 18:38 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-16 18:38 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September? | BUY | 0.5842528736 | $101.66 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September? | BUY | 0.1271707866 | $127.69 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.02 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September? | BUY | 0.238291872 | $197.80 |
| 09-16 18:20 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.653442623 | $39.86 |
| 09-16 17:55 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? | SELL | 0.5726183329 | $74.40 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.325T by September 30? | SELL | 0.8431666115 | $229.25 |
| 09-16 17:20 | Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 60% or more? | SELL | 0.39 | $15.21 |
| 09-16 17:18 | Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%? | BUY | 0.1034146341 | $21.20 |
| 09-16 17:18 | Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%? | BUY | 0.2917592384 | $310.13 |