Started-with-20-USD

0x4388640a35b4ecebc33f8c73b58a2b988c615050

Realised P&L: $53.1k
Volume: $1.26M
Markets traded: 3,499
Open portfolio: $30.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%: Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded3,499: High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No	0.321	0.660	$986.85	+$507.04
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? · No	0.632	0.916	$811.05	+$251.41
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? · No	0.847	0.720	$808.86	−$142.21
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? · No	0.598	0.930	$637.28	+$227.60
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? · Yes	0.184	0.403	$633.31	+$344.33
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027? · No	0.509	0.450	$627.43	−$82.84
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Yes	0.134	0.952	$614.11	+$527.90
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No	0.228	0.345	$596.98	+$201.94
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? · No	0.772	0.875	$572.41	+$67.33
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31? · No	0.804	0.922	$559.39	+$71.73
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? · No	0.698	0.875	$528.47	+$107.20
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? · Yes	0.325	0.490	$521.79	+$175.47
Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? · No	0.594	0.475	$508.42	−$127.89
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $5 in 2026? · No	0.740	0.970	$471.48	+$111.79
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? · No	0.607	0.510	$463.80	−$88.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$1.9kat 0.161Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in September?
+$1.2kat 0.374Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
+$1.1kat 0.168Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31?
+$958.54at 0.335Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
+$945.29at 0.243Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
10-31 23:05	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	SELL	0.187160544	$88.90
10-31 14:19	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?	BUY	0.1403091383	$86.73
10-30 10:03	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	BUY	0.2469621508	$878.51
10-30 09:28	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	SELL	0.4080519481	$31.42
10-30 09:26	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?	BUY	0.9810120529	$74.88
10-30 09:26	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?	BUY	0.98995105	$404.47
10-30 09:26	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?	BUY	0.99	$44.55
10-30 09:25	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in October?	BUY	0.9888433735	$101.77
10-30 09:25	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?	BUY	0.9891060097	$79.49
10-29 19:12	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	BUY	0.677	$6.77
10-28 21:24	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	BUY	0.3252178089	$352.16
10-28 18:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	SELL	0.4219924812	$106.64
10-28 18:44	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	BUY	0.1634585051	$45.60
10-28 18:43	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	SELL	0.2816666667	$67.60
10-27 22:20	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	BUY	0.76	$60.80