kirby26
0xa0d3909f97ef568bd7089c16c1f5ac6617145b5e
- Realised P&L
- $564.24
- Volume
- $512.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,731
- Open portfolio
- $31.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,731
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.738Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.754Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
- +$1.1kat 0.874Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.658Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?
- +$674.30at 0.091Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:03 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $2.82 |
| 09-16 11:48 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 09-11 03:18 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs | BUY | 0.44 | $4.84 |
| 09-11 03:18 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 08-29 04:37 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $543.07 |
| 08-29 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-29 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 08-29 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-28 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.37 |
| 08-28 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.48 |
| 08-28 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.80 |
| 08-28 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-28 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-28 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-28 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.55 | $25.30 |