PolyBot

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Traders

kirby26

0xa0d3909f97ef568bd7089c16c1f5ac6617145b5e

Realised P&L
$564.24
Volume
$512.4k
Markets traded
2,731
Open portfolio
$31.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,731
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.7170.915$14.5k+$3.1k
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.5230.805$8.3k+$2.9k
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8700.875$754.25+$4.31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5700.445$538.45$151.25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.895$353.52+$5.92
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1300.165$326.37+$68.66
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8800.895$263.13+$4.41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1700.205$207.66+$35.10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7080.920$185.02+$42.80
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.6210.815$171.64+$40.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2920.125$167.63$223.41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7410.765$164.68+$5.25
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8630.959$140.90+$14.06
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.3000.285$140.22$7.38
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.8520.875$131.25+$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 10:03Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.47$2.82
09-16 11:48Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5BUY0.57$4.56
09-11 03:18Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsBUY0.44$4.84
09-11 03:18Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.41$4.92
08-29 04:37Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.67$543.07
08-29 03:16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30?BUY0.22$1.10
08-29 03:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 30?BUY0.21$1.68
08-29 01:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30?BUY0.87$4.35
08-28 21:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 29?BUY0.23$4.37
08-28 21:16Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 30?BUY0.32$4.48
08-28 19:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30?BUY0.2$4.80
08-28 19:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 29?BUY0.48$4.80
08-28 17:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 29?BUY0.48$4.80
08-28 17:16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 29?BUY0.24$4.80
08-28 16:32Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29?BUY0.55$25.30