80fA5e
0x11258b0f143fda1da68e295e73e418f86deafe5b
- Realised P&L
- $0.60
- Volume
- $0.00
- Markets traded
- 0
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded0
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.335 | $0.34 | −$0.17 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.270 | $0.27 | +$0.07 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $0.17 | −$0.04 |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.135 | $0.14 | −$0.36 |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.083 | $0.08 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.30at 0.500Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
- +$0.30at 0.500Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?