PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.07 to 0.08. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.083131
0.09500531
0.105,5626,093
0.141056,198
0.151,3117,509
0.178888,397
0.501008,497
0.633008,797
0.643,00011,797
0.661,75013,547
0.702,47916,026
0.737,94423,970

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07155155
0.05200355
0.0317372
0.02181553
0.01288840

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93155155
0.95200355
0.9717372
0.98181553
0.99288840

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.923131
0.91500531
0.905,5626,093
0.861056,198
0.851,3117,509
0.838888,397
0.501008,497
0.373008,797
0.363,00011,797
0.341,75013,547
0.302,47916,026
0.277,94423,970

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HyperlongYes1,038
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes416.66
doilYes400
maritime6307Yes47
passenger-22Yes45.26
marksmanYes20
0x4b49…97a2Yes14.93
aliizYes7.27
0x9337Cdc9c80d66d29836cF8f3100fA9707b04A6D-1732216430904Yes6.67
mr2tYes6.66
cocococococoNo1,741
SusanWarrenHRNo100
Hans323No40
AJSVNo35.85
VolynMolfarNo28.42
MinasTirithNo26
DanBolla33No19.99
Elias.ThornwellNo7.27
0xA92712EE4e002680D7f7Cf859fc25E86c28952a3-1775284259939No2.26
0x4c9b…6c1eNo2.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:47:46SELLYes0.0720$1.40
14:34:06BUYYes0.0820$1.60
14:32:51BUYNo0.92999999562$2.10
14:29:46BUYYes0.0820$1.60
17:43:58BUYYes0.0827$2.16
17:44:16SELLYes0.0712$0.84
21:27:30SELLYes0.0611$0.66
11:38:28BUYYes0.0723$1.61
00:42:21BUYYes0.077$0.51
00:59:22SELLYes0.0620$1.20
15:40:58BUYYes0.07465317921,038$77.49
14:48:10BUYNo0.93260$241.80
21:07:03BUYNo0.9320$18.60
20:30:03BUYNo0.9193479785428$393.39
06:31:00BUYNo0.92999999552$2.08
16:19:13BUYYes0.078$0.59
16:18:51BUYNo0.9320$18.60
16:18:42BUYYes0.08100$8.00
12:23:04BUYYes0.086$0.48
05:20:27BUYNo0.9126$23.66
16:30:40BUYYes0.139999946415$2.09
16:29:16SELLYes0.129$1.06
14:01:10SELLYes0.087$0.53
08:26:10BUYYes0.157$1.00
16:25:01BUYYes0.14999988757$1.00