SusanWarrenHR
0x22dbd51e1a4e10fff072fa24300238c64033190f
- Realised P&L
- $94.5k
- Volume
- $5.47M
- Markets traded
- 7,640
- Open portfolio
- $33.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,640
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.584Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$5.5kat 0.588US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.262Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$5.0kat 0.252Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
- +$3.8kat 0.395Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:30 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 19:28 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 11-01 07:08 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.807 | $80.70 |
| 11-01 06:37 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.81172675 | $194.81 |
| 11-01 06:35 | Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.7594555625 | $121.51 |
| 11-01 05:48 | Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM? | BUY | 0.8346 | $375.57 |
| 10-31 10:54 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-31 10:54 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.67695 | $270.78 |
| 10-31 10:14 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | SELL | 0.0011166135 | $0.56 |
| 10-30 20:25 | Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 10-30 11:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $77.45 |
| 10-30 11:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $52.35 |
| 10-30 11:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.922 | $184.40 |
| 10-30 08:52 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $141.15 |
| 10-28 15:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.94908705 | $4.7k |