passenger-22
0xb0d7480a7a75026ec76dd92ac382bd66dda2f9fa
- Realised P&L
- $-31.5k
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 1,163
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.632Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$3.5kat 0.330Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$3.4kat 0.260Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
- +$3.2kat 0.290Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
- +$3.2kat 0.581Vieira vs. Dumont
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:31 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.41 | $45.22 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $156.00 |
| 09-16 19:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 09-14 22:07 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.646 | $64.60 |
| 09-14 21:57 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.643 | $25.72 |
| 09-14 21:52 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.62 | $98.46 |
| 09-14 21:38 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.62 | $60.33 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.75 | $27.45 |
| 09-14 20:38 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.874 | $130.30 |
| 09-14 20:02 | Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.72 |
| 09-14 19:29 | Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.81 |
| 09-14 18:16 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.6098416276 | $83.33 |
| 09-14 18:12 | Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.5989116392 | $103.84 |
| 09-14 18:03 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.4332252836 | $5.35 |