PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

passenger-22

0xb0d7480a7a75026ec76dd92ac382bd66dda2f9fa

Realised P&L
$-31.5k
Volume
$2.43M
Markets traded
1,163
Open portfolio
$8.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,163
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4680.405$1.7k$263.66
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.495$1.4k$98.17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4700.405$1.2k$195.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5270.495$1.2k$78.12
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7040.675$1.1k$47.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6750.935$649.82+$180.38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5200.445$445.00$75.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1120.105$315.02$22.44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4780.457$228.25$10.55
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes0.6300.660$132.00+$6.00
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.4000.335$36.92$7.16
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? · No0.7800.805$34.65+$1.08
Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes0.2000.195$24.55$0.63
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat? · Yes0.7800.785$19.90+$0.13
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · Yes0.1700.165$19.33$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:31Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.41$45.22
09-17 17:01Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.39$156.00
09-16 19:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$104.00
09-14 22:07Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.646$64.60
09-14 21:57Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.643$25.72
09-14 21:52Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.62$98.46
09-14 21:38Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.58$290.00
09-14 20:45Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.62$60.33
09-14 20:41Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?BUY0.75$27.45
09-14 20:38Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.874$130.30
09-14 20:02Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.36$72.72
09-14 19:29Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?BUY0.74$22.81
09-14 18:16Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.6098416276$83.33
09-14 18:12Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.5989116392$103.84
09-14 18:03Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.4332252836$5.35