VolynMolfar
0x6c2a50ee968898c5d50de31b04544f8d3329b7b5
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $384.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,319
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,319
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.258Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$1.0kat 0.544US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$349.07at 0.613Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$303.95at 0.471Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
- +$258.73at 0.315Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:22 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $23.22 |
| 09-19 01:14 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 01:14 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-19 01:13 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999933 | $12.60 |
| 09-19 01:09 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-18 23:59 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999946 | $12.75 |
| 09-18 23:34 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999949 | $15.47 |
| 09-18 22:34 | Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.65 |
| 09-18 22:27 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799999779 | $12.77 |
| 09-18 22:26 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-18 22:25 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 09-18 14:58 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $35.10 |
| 09-18 08:55 | Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.193 | $0.97 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.16 |