VolynMolfar
0x6c2a50ee968898c5d50de31b04544f8d3329b7b5
- Realised P&L
- $-811.64
- Volume
- $312.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,094
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,094
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.544US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$349.07at 0.613Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$265.02at 0.690Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$261.44at 0.312Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- +$247.14at 0.723Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $12.25 |
| 08-04 15:44 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.8489999881 | $24.51 |
| 08-04 15:42 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.4699999317 | $2.34 |
| 08-04 15:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $13.95 |
| 08-04 15:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999265 | $2.11 |
| 08-04 15:36 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6799999943 | $9.62 |
| 08-04 15:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999394 | $2.15 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.68 |
| 08-04 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.21 |
| 08-04 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 13:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.93 |
| 08-04 02:51 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6569999607 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6589999095 | $6.21 |
| 08-04 02:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.30 |
| 08-04 01:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999838 | $26.88 |