PolyBot

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Traders

Hyperlong

0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c

Realised P&L
$-60.2k
Volume
$9.83M
Markets traded
1,133
Open portfolio
$348.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,133
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8950.970$42.6k+$3.3k
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2980.564$16.8k+$7.9k
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9180.974$11.2k+$639.90
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7910.935$10.9k+$1.7k
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7600.695$9.4k$874.32
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9030.778$7.9k$1.3k
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6590.925$7.9k+$2.3k
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9550.980$7.6k+$189.12
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.7140.775$5.6k+$440.53
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.9430.990$5.1k+$242.30
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9800.967$4.2k$59.02
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6190.630$3.7k+$65.48
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? · No0.9100.952$3.1k+$135.88
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.8570.825$3.1k$118.42
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9200.932$3.0k+$39.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:26Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.5877359178$96.72
09-16 19:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$526.42
09-16 18:55Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.3353507014$150.61
09-16 18:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.69$1.4k
09-16 18:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.68$584.12
09-16 18:11Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5247472637$105.47
09-16 18:09Will Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?BUY0.23$103.73
09-16 18:08Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.015$26.97
09-16 13:51Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?BUY0.9$723.60
09-16 13:24Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?BUY0.69$138.00
09-16 13:21Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.11$114.35
09-16 12:22Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?BUY0.92$460.00
09-16 12:21Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?BUY0.9194188$459.71
09-16 12:19Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.78$226.20
09-16 12:17Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.0445552485$13.87