Hyperlong
0x014c4e7ae2145992861c2d1b124af633a97f820c
- Realised P&L
- $-57.3k
- Volume
- $10.48M
- Markets traded
- 1,296
- Open portfolio
- $511.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,296
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.9kat 0.489Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$20.2kat 0.308Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$19.5kat 0.571Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$12.6kat 0.120Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.7kat 0.350Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $437.97 |
| 11-01 21:24 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.87 | $309.53 |
| 11-01 17:15 | Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | BUY | 0.8191271158 | $98.72 |
| 11-01 17:14 | Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? | BUY | 0.8 | $480.80 |
| 11-01 09:13 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 19:27 | Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.9597340507 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 19:23 | Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.20 |
| 10-31 16:13 | Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.011546476 | $1.24 |
| 10-31 16:12 | Will Drake headline Coachella 2027? | BUY | 0.7043623502 | $35.85 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $642.45 |
| 10-31 16:10 | Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.33 | $171.50 |
| 10-31 16:08 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $16.66 |
| 10-31 16:01 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.6k |
| 10-31 14:18 | Will Tom Holland win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.957747137 | $522.69 |
| 10-31 12:42 | Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.6070531915 | $228.25 |