PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4b491f3463cc0e5bbadcf8c2fbdc1848ea4b97a2

0x4b491f3463cc0e5bbadcf8c2fbdc1848ea4b97a2

Realised P&L
$3.40
Volume
$0.00
Markets traded
0
Open portfolio
$81.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded0
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9580.975$38.08+$0.65
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · No0.9490.982$23.76+$0.79
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.5520.435$8.60−$2.32
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.270$2.57−$0.76
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.1630.125$2.26−$0.70
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.1870.115$1.99−$1.25
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.035$1.73−$4.32
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1400.060$0.90−$1.19
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.026$0.74−$2.87
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0840.009$0.30−$2.69
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? · Yes0.1400.024$0.18−$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.