PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

doil

0xf294919e16868d927b0247891543b9187d6e7967

Realised P&L
$10.6k
Volume
$10.24M
Markets traded
877
Open portfolio
$7.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded877
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:22Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.037$2.22
09-17 15:12Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.03$1.20
09-17 15:12Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.029$2.90
09-16 15:43Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.07$7.07
09-16 14:13Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.91$2.24
09-15 21:15Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.28$212.35
09-15 21:04Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.29$10.00
09-15 18:33Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.07$15.00
09-15 18:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.85$25.50
09-15 17:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.16$32.00
09-15 02:27Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.54$242.99
09-13 21:45Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.16$8.00
09-13 18:02Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.2$11.20
09-13 18:01Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.28$12.50
09-13 18:01Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.71$142.00