cocococococo
0xbad26fe5458e6219cec3e40272760e275e835296
- Realised P&L
- $109.4k
- Volume
- $16.59M
- Markets traded
- 4,140
- Open portfolio
- $156.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,140
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.3kat 0.450Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
- +$8.1kat 0.914US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.752Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$6.2kat 0.712US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.1kat 0.968Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:31 | Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | SELL | 0.003 | $4.66 |
| 11-02 06:59 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.32 | $177.60 |
| 11-02 06:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.366 | $136.52 |
| 11-02 06:14 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.32 | $177.60 |
| 11-02 05:44 | Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2? | SELL | 0.9054545455 | $99.60 |
| 11-02 05:38 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.087 | $36.41 |
| 11-02 05:25 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0868119567 | $77.19 |
| 11-02 05:21 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.0k |
| 11-02 04:44 | Hurricanes vs. Predators | BUY | 0.67 | $44.25 |
| 11-02 04:44 | Hurricanes vs. Predators | BUY | 0.65 | $3.28 |
| 11-02 04:43 | Oilers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.61 | $231.85 |
| 11-02 04:43 | Oilers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.6 | $6.60 |
| 11-02 04:42 | Jets vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.61 | $1.1k |
| 11-02 04:42 | Jets vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.61 | $338.55 |
| 11-02 04:41 | Utah vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.55 | $2.81 |