aliiz
0xbea0922d263ae8ee61faae1fa642915691aae19d
- Realised P&L
- $6.7k
- Volume
- $268.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,246
- Open portfolio
- $9.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,246
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.08at 0.264Will Future feature Lil Yachty on "The Real Me"?
- +$213.94at 0.018Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
- +$118.31at 0.384Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$110.08at 0.675Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?
- +$102.62at 0.644Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:27 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.01 |
| 09-17 02:18 | Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.010842744 | $1.29 |
| 09-16 23:02 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.62 |
| 09-16 19:12 | Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.0181538462 | $0.71 |
| 09-16 12:38 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.53 | $35.04 |
| 09-16 07:23 | Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | BUY | 0.795 | $31.81 |
| 09-16 07:20 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | BUY | 0.0645959476 | $5.42 |
| 09-16 06:55 | Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-16 06:50 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.59 |
| 09-15 23:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.15 |
| 09-15 22:33 | Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.89 |
| 09-15 22:33 | Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.99 |
| 09-15 22:21 | Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | BUY | 0.47 | $0.48 |
| 09-15 22:06 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%? | BUY | 0.619 | $48.88 |
| 09-15 22:04 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |