aliiz
0xbea0922d263ae8ee61faae1fa642915691aae19d
- Realised P&L
- $8.2k
- Volume
- $426.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,325
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,325
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.08at 0.264Will Future feature Lil Yachty on "The Real Me"?
- +$247.98at 0.663Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?
- +$118.31at 0.384Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$110.08at 0.675Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?
- +$104.63at 0.728Will Patrick Bumatay be the next Supreme Court nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:02 | Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.54 |
| 11-01 09:34 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.778 | $16.34 |
| 10-31 21:21 | Will Trabzonspor win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | BUY | 0.088 | $21.26 |
| 10-31 21:20 | Will Disclosure Day win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0295208978 | $1.14 |
| 10-31 16:58 | Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.49 |
| 10-31 06:11 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.7 | $25.36 |
| 10-31 00:52 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.19 |
| 10-30 13:25 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.19 | $5.91 |
| 10-30 13:23 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $17.81 |
| 10-30 13:18 | Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.35 | $14.02 |
| 10-30 13:15 | Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.59 |
| 10-30 12:54 | Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.59 |
| 10-30 05:15 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.759 | $37.95 |
| 10-30 05:09 | Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.02 |