0xA92712EE4e002680D7f7Cf859fc25E86c28952a3-1775284259939
0xa92712ee4e002680d7f7cf859fc25e86c28952a3
- Realised P&L
- $-75.84
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,796
- Open portfolio
- $47.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,796
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.92at 0.148Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?
- +$10.27at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?
- +$10.13at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 4?
- +$8.03at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$7.43at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.33 |
| 09-18 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.62 |
| 09-18 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.4299999867 | $2.59 |
| 09-18 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2199999873 | $1.04 |
| 09-18 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.66 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999717 | $2.52 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4499999679 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.849999953 | $1.81 |
| 09-17 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.71 |
| 09-17 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.519999927 | $1.71 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.2338461538 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5899999671 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999673 | $3.66 |
| 09-17 14:32 | Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999956 | $2.10 |