PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA92712EE4e002680D7f7Cf859fc25E86c28952a3-1775284259939

0xa92712ee4e002680d7f7cf859fc25e86c28952a3

Realised P&L
$-75.84
Volume
$43.8k
Markets traded
1,796
Open portfolio
$47.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,796
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? · Yes0.2550.975$7.11+$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.5300.590$4.40+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.5700.595$3.82+$0.16
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.7700.705$3.09$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.4300.480$2.89+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.4300.600$2.87+$0.81
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 19? · No0.8600.885$2.40+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.5500.600$2.28+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.5900.625$2.28+$0.13
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.9300.925$2.09$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.5200.575$1.89+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.2400.385$1.78+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.3300.250$1.77$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? · Yes0.4600.375$1.44$0.33
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.4700.205$1.41$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:54Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 19?BUY0.86$2.33
09-18 08:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?SELL0.99$6.62
09-18 04:12Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.4299999867$2.59
09-18 01:41Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.2199999873$1.04
09-18 00:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?SELL0.99$3.66
09-17 22:36Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.3099999717$2.52
09-17 22:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?SELL0.99$2.10
09-17 20:19Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.4499999679$2.10
09-17 19:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.849999953$1.81
09-17 19:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.99$4.71
09-17 16:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.519999927$1.71
09-17 16:16Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 18?BUY0.2338461538$1.90
09-17 15:18Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.5899999671$2.15
09-17 15:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.5699999673$3.66
09-17 14:32Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.9299999956$2.10