PolyBot

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Traders

DanBolla33

0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$392.5k
Markets traded
1,396
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,396
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6960.855$380.72+$70.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7590.835$330.06+$30.05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8230.935$263.47+$31.47
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6620.765$243.93+$32.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8890.905$206.70+$3.70
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.957$205.33+$26.80
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8520.945$166.34+$16.34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7460.935$158.85+$32.19
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.8570.835$133.05$3.55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8790.983$122.98+$12.98
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.7970.695$113.56$16.66
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.6610.935$108.39+$31.79
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7290.840$105.90+$13.90
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9000.975$97.45+$7.45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8120.995$95.53+$17.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6699999911$21.00
09-17 12:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.929999993$103.00
09-14 07:57Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8699999472$14.00
09-14 07:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7899999941$12.00
09-14 07:56Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.8499999929$12.00
09-06 17:27Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8$100.00
09-06 17:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8499999962$100.00
09-02 14:13Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7199999712$22.00
09-02 14:13Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6899999708$21.00
09-02 14:12Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.789999997$32.00
08-29 21:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.54$194.30
08-27 20:44Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999968$11.00
08-26 21:13Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999938$12.00
08-26 21:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699999982$11.00
08-22 07:14Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.629999953$13.00