DanBolla33
0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $392.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,396
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,396
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.711Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
- +$353.99at 0.921Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
- +$256.11at 0.936Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
- +$225.34at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$210.74at 0.967France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $21.00 |
| 09-17 12:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.929999993 | $103.00 |
| 09-14 07:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8699999472 | $14.00 |
| 09-14 07:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999941 | $12.00 |
| 09-14 07:56 | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999929 | $12.00 |
| 09-06 17:27 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 17:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8499999962 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 14:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $22.00 |
| 09-02 14:13 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6899999708 | $21.00 |
| 09-02 14:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.789999997 | $32.00 |
| 08-29 21:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $194.30 |
| 08-27 20:44 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999968 | $11.00 |
| 08-26 21:13 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999938 | $12.00 |
| 08-26 21:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 08-22 07:14 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999953 | $13.00 |