PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9337Cdc9c80d66d29836cF8f3100fA9707b04A6D-1732216430904

0x9337cdc9c80d66d29836cf8f3100fa9707b04a6d

Realised P&L
$-11.15
Volume
$40.0k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$38.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1510.210$13.94+$3.94
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0330.017$5.20$4.80
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.077$3.52+$2.52
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.011$2.95$1.05
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.2500.735$2.94+$1.94
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1500.305$2.03+$1.03
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0800.024$1.50$3.50
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1500.155$1.03+$0.03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0530.048$0.90$0.10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.021$0.80$9.20
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1350.075$0.56$0.44
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1900.105$0.55$0.45
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$0.50$0.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.046$0.47$0.54
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0300.013$0.42$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 16:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.2$3.00
08-05 16:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.0890000084$1.00
08-04 08:18Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.4356435428$5.00
08-04 08:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
08-04 08:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-02 14:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-27 03:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?BUY0.8699999666$19.00
07-26 17:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
07-26 17:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 27?BUY0.0202001457$1.00
07-11 08:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 12?BUY0.331819601$50.00
07-11 08:49Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?SELL0.0512035225$52.33
07-11 08:49Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 12?SELL0.09$2.19
07-11 02:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?BUY0.0013549091$5.00
07-11 01:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?BUY0.1914922676$30.00
07-10 17:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?SELL0.3773312725$21.97