maritime6307
0x5c29b2ca441c040f0f637d0a852594bb65b8358e
- Realised P&L
- $852.29
- Volume
- $740.4k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $50.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.218Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.169Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.100Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.050Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$1.0kat 0.366Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:39 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $113.52 |
| 11-01 18:37 | Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $25.92 |
| 11-01 18:28 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $28.90 |
| 11-01 18:25 | Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.82 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $27.30 |
| 11-01 14:21 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $38.32 |
| 11-01 14:20 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $38.32 |
| 11-01 14:00 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.1135 | $4.54 |
| 11-01 12:43 | Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $43.20 |
| 11-01 12:17 | Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.685 | $27.40 |
| 11-01 06:55 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 04:44 | Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.831 | $66.48 |
| 11-01 03:57 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $294.84 |
| 11-01 03:57 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $378.00 |
| 11-01 03:56 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $158.34 |