marksman
0xb7d54bf1d0a362beb916d9cb58a04c41d67e0789
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $22.97M
- Markets traded
- 4,832
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,832
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.1kat 0.038Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$9.3kat 0.047Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$8.9kat 0.025Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.0kat 0.016Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$4.6kat 0.1062024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:01 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.2045259561 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 01:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.493264 | $61.66 |
| 08-03 00:58 | Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.1699999419 | $2.40 |
| 08-02 22:40 | Will Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | SELL | 0.917 | $6.42 |
| 08-02 21:26 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.2099999169 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 21:25 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.094 | $1.86 |
| 08-02 20:33 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.094 | $5.57 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1540000029 | $8.63 |
| 08-02 19:51 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.094 | $7.33 |
| 08-02 19:47 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1539999871 | $8.31 |
| 08-02 19:21 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.154000003 | $8.01 |
| 08-02 19:10 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1540000031 | $7.86 |
| 08-02 19:00 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1539999844 | $7.48 |
| 08-02 18:34 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.153999975 | $5.10 |