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Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.013 to 0.020. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0243030
0.0255080
0.02986166
0.03068234
0.03555289
0.04421310
0.05225335
0.05319354
0.085172526
0.10020546
0.12185631
0.12288719

Spread0.013Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0114040
0.009112152
0.0081,7081,860
0.0066002,460
0.0051,0003,460
0.0048,19211,652
0.0031,20212,854
0.00216,43429,288
0.00165,79295,080

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9894040
0.991112152
0.9921,7081,860
0.9946002,460
0.9951,0003,460
0.9968,19211,652
0.9971,20212,854
0.99816,43429,288
0.99965,79295,080

Spread0.013Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9763030
0.9755080
0.97186166
0.97068234
0.96555289
0.95621310
0.94825335
0.94719354
0.915172526
0.90020546
0.87985631
0.87888719

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes1,016.62
viniiYes999.51
taerv534Yes951.24
molodoyyYes673.98
x1099Yes450
0x5533…51baYes172.03
OnYesYesYes135.25
GDV82aYes124.99
JosephIsGreatYes120.81
8dcc906a9bYes119.9
Elton123Yes101
TENETENETYes100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes85.52
0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589Yes82.14
LornaPredictsYes65.69
0x11b2…6d33Yes50
a5533Yes50
donthackmeYes44.58
0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279Yes43.1
GingerMcKennaYes40.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:26:10BUYYes0.019121$2.30
00:14:01BUYNo0.9921$1.30
22:44:27BUYNo0.9917777778135$133.89
22:44:27BUYNo0.99233$32.49
22:44:27BUYNo0.9925$4.97
22:44:27BUYNo0.9925$4.96
13:35:10BUYNo0.99191$90.00
21:18:13BUYNo0.99210$9.92
21:18:13BUYNo0.99290$89.28
21:18:13BUYNo0.99221$20.83
21:18:13BUYNo0.9929$8.93
21:18:13BUYNo0.99245$44.64
21:18:13BUYNo0.99211$11.00
21:18:12BUYNo0.991510$9.92
21:18:10BUYNo0.99110$9.91
21:18:10BUYNo0.99110$9.91
21:18:10BUYNo0.99110$9.91
21:18:09BUYNo0.9898$7.91
21:18:09BUYNo0.98910$9.89
01:59:07SELLYes0.0125$0.06
11:34:42BUYNo0.9839999999122$120.00
07:43:03BUYNo0.98425$24.61
07:43:03BUYNo0.984135$132.84
07:43:01BUYNo0.98441$40.34
07:43:01BUYNo0.983999999729$28.54