0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13
0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $418.6k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.421Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.700Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$971.50at 0.841Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$870.96at 0.842Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$526.71at 0.133Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:30 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.198900756 | $159.97 |
| 08-02 08:22 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.47 | $50.34 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.88 | $28.91 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.72 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.8705853659 | $142.78 |
| 08-01 03:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.45 | $88.16 |
| 08-01 01:38 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $11.98 |
| 07-31 16:11 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 07-31 15:53 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $105.56 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $81.04 |
| 07-31 15:05 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.048 | $4.99 |
| 07-31 15:03 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.048 | $4.99 |
| 07-31 15:03 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.049 | $5.09 |
| 07-31 14:17 | Will Micron (MU) finish week of July 27 above $850? | BUY | 0.629 | $31.87 |
| 07-31 13:47 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $6.03 |