PolyBot

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Traders

0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13

0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$531.7k
Markets traded
359
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded359
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.465$295.90$73.02
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.885$257.77$1.46
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? · No0.4280.805$203.64+$95.29
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · No0.4100.665$146.25+$56.08
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.565$114.98$1.02
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · No0.8500.825$83.00$2.52
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.265$80.64+$17.80
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0600.230$73.42+$54.26
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Yes0.8611.000$64.86+$8.97
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? · No0.8170.780$62.40$2.92
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? · Yes0.2320.335$60.00+$18.41
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8000.700$42.00$6.00
Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5700.605$39.50+$2.29
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6710.530$34.45$9.15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.2610.065$32.25$98.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:15Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$58.00
09-17 05:14Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?SELL0.8$80.00
09-17 05:09Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.008$0.35
09-16 15:20Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of September?BUY0.19$19.63
09-16 15:03Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.57$58.00
09-16 15:03Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?SELL0.864$86.40
09-15 23:47Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.688752138$92.62
09-15 14:32Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$26.00
09-15 14:30Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$65.69
09-15 14:29Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$229.68
09-15 14:28Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5$132.13
09-15 03:51Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?BUY0.2352673163$17.87
09-15 03:51Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?BUY0.85$85.51
09-15 03:51Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?BUY0.8165$65.32
09-15 03:50Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?BUY0.23$23.73