PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13

0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$418.6k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6470.675$445.20+$18.34
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.8460.935$375.35+$35.85
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · No0.6610.917$185.75+$51.89
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.5000.335$122.16$60.17
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0450.029$77.89$43.65
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.6300.675$68.51+$4.57
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · No0.3390.160$65.73$73.44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0150.030$59.58+$28.73
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.2200.435$44.90+$22.19
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0580.081$34.41+$9.53
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0410.098$30.08+$17.52
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.4550.580$27.73+$5.98
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0670.075$23.70+$2.37
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.3150.885$23.11+$14.88
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · Yes0.1610.083$18.77$17.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:30Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.198900756$159.97
08-02 08:22Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.47$50.34
08-02 08:21Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.88$28.91
08-02 08:21Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?SELL0.93$46.72
08-02 08:21Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?SELL0.8705853659$142.78
08-01 03:47Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.45$88.16
08-01 01:38Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.074$11.98
07-31 16:11Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.001$0.50
07-31 15:53Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.26$105.56
07-31 15:52Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.21$81.04
07-31 15:05Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.048$4.99
07-31 15:03Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.048$4.99
07-31 15:03Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.049$5.09
07-31 14:17Will Micron (MU) finish week of July 27 above $850?BUY0.629$31.87
07-31 13:47Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.029$6.03