0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13
0x652bff901f401f22b2da47ad1c5c4b5870b3f5c2
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $531.7k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.066Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
- +$1.8kat 0.421Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.700Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
- +$971.50at 0.841Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
- +$846.53at 0.847Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:15 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $58.00 |
| 09-17 05:14 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.35 |
| 09-16 15:20 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of September? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.63 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $58.00 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | SELL | 0.864 | $86.40 |
| 09-15 23:47 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.688752138 | $92.62 |
| 09-15 14:32 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 09-15 14:30 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $65.69 |
| 09-15 14:29 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $229.68 |
| 09-15 14:28 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $132.13 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | BUY | 0.2352673163 | $17.87 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.51 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | BUY | 0.8165 | $65.32 |
| 09-15 03:50 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.73 |