GDV82a
0xcb95c88db24fb29950686e8f1470f2d4f699611e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.45
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $72.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.51at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$6.40at 0.040Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$4.58at 0.133Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.141Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$3.60at 0.150Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 23:29 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-08 23:27 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |
| 09-08 23:24 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-08 23:22 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-08 23:15 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:12 | Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-08 07:05 | Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.147 | $1.47 |
| 09-02 17:50 | Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-25 06:03 | Vikings vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.3 | $0.88 |
| 08-24 17:20 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-23 01:22 | Seahawks vs. Titans | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 05:09 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 08-08 16:37 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 08-08 16:32 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-08 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |