PolyBot

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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.00 over the period, from 0.06. Range 0.05 to 0.06. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06394394
0.07106500
0.1040540
0.1120560
0.13425985
0.14201,005
0.17101,015
0.18261,041
0.2551,046
0.27231,069
0.3051,074
0.38611,135

Spread0.02Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04349349
0.03450799
0.02100899
0.012,4003,299

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96349349
0.97450799
0.98100899
0.992,4003,299

Spread0.02Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94394394
0.93106500
0.9040540
0.8920560
0.87425985
0.86201,005
0.83101,015
0.82261,041
0.7551,046
0.73231,069
0.7051,074
0.62611,135

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GennedyYes591.46
DominuxLuxYes585.94
Herald-PSYes489.88
HaradwaithYes417
gardensYes340
MrMarketYes312.35
0xD83fFc4B9C3196EdFF2C07a88E5384CE129b49d8-1776080523265Yes268.88
emeraldhandsYes187
0xcbff…f748Yes165.79
0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609Yes163.06
5atkaYes135
climateprofessorYes120.97
PeteWeatherYes120
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95A0391528eA3D85d930Dc-1768035893942Yes115.76
orim23Yes115.53
maqidYes100
0xf51b…ca1bYes100
FrankyFourFingersYes99.99
ahhuat8Yes86.08
qicakeYes85

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:57:36SELLYes0.05200$10.00
00:42:39BUYYes0.0650$3.00
22:46:37BUYYes0.059999999583$5.00
00:41:43SELLYes0.0587$4.37
14:17:16BUYYes0.0620$1.20
20:09:34SELLYes0.0553$2.63
15:36:16SELLNo0.927$6.43
15:36:12SELLNo0.937$6.50
15:36:10BUYYes0.06147$8.82
11:05:13BUYYes0.0640$2.40
04:59:07SELLYes0.0612$0.72
04:59:01SELLYes0.078$0.56
01:22:55SELLNo0.913$2.73
01:22:46SELLYes0.0477135619762$36.35
19:13:46BUYYes0.1252082785160$20.00
19:11:13SELLNo0.9178894902140$128.91
11:42:40SELLNo0.9212$10.64
06:24:13SELLYes0.0893$7.46
06:24:06SELLYes0.0920$1.80
06:24:03BUYNo0.950$45.00
15:19:54SELLYes0.150$5.00
05:49:51BUYNo0.8679998971389$337.55
15:02:43BUYNo0.84999996612$10.00
14:59:57SELLYes0.154$0.65
03:42:51SELLNo0.8324$19.52