Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.06. up 0.00 over the period, from 0.05. Range 0.04 to 0.06. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	38	38
0.08	185	223
0.09	171	394
0.12	312	706
0.18	12	718
0.23	50	768
0.24	50	818
0.25	68	886
0.27	250	1,136
0.29	400	1,536
0.32	15	1,551
0.58	100	1,651

Spread0.03Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.04	40	40
0.03	779	819
0.02	181	1,000
0.01	281	1,281

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.96	40	40
0.97	779	819
0.98	181	1,000
0.99	281	1,281

Spread0.03Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	38	38
0.92	185	223
0.91	171	394
0.88	312	706
0.82	12	718
0.77	50	768
0.76	50	818
0.75	68	886
0.73	250	1,136
0.71	400	1,536
0.68	15	1,551
0.42	100	1,651

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
DominuxLux	Yes	917.24
Gennedy	Yes	591.46
Guessingkbn-wx	Yes	581.56
Herald-PS	Yes	489.88
LornaPredicts	Yes	367.95
gardens	Yes	340
MrMarket	Yes	312.35
0xD83fFc4B9C3196EdFF2C07a88E5384CE129b49d8-1776080523265	Yes	268.88
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	198.25
0xcbff…f748	Yes	165.79
0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609	Yes	163.06
5atka	Yes	135
climateprofessor	Yes	120.97
PeteWeather	Yes	120
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95A0391528eA3D85d930Dc-1768035893942	Yes	115.76
orim23	Yes	115.53
maqid	Yes	100
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	99.99
emeraldhands	Yes	87
ahhuat8	Yes	86.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:25:10	BUY	Yes	0.06	16	$0.95
14:19:57	BUY	Yes	0.06	20	$1.20
00:53:00	BUY	No	0.96	21	$19.98
21:46:28	BUY	Yes	0.06	20	$1.20
19:29:55	BUY	Yes	0.06	13	$0.78
02:00:41	SELL	No	0.94	15	$14.10
02:00:38	SELL	No	0.95	5	$4.75
02:00:35	BUY	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
02:00:35	SELL	No	0.95	20	$19.00
18:34:02	SELL	No	0.94	1	$0.94
18:33:53	BUY	No	0.97	20	$19.40
18:33:53	SELL	Yes	0.0332480187	77	$2.56
07:47:41	BUY	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
07:42:33	SELL	Yes	0.04	5	$0.20
12:40:42	SELL	No	0.94	6	$5.64
19:59:17	BUY	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
09:57:08	SELL	Yes	0.03	21	$0.63
09:54:27	SELL	Yes	0.0333605377	62	$2.08
05:18:02	SELL	No	0.938494898	12	$11.04
17:50:39	SELL	No	0.94	10	$9.39
14:26:24	BUY	Yes	0.06	60	$3.60
12:23:59	SELL	Yes	0.0375037519	20	$0.75
12:23:48	SELL	Yes	0.06	40	$2.40
12:23:45	BUY	No	0.93	216	$201.04
17:40:44	BUY	No	0.9	10	$9.00