PeteWeather
0x932b9730a26867e3e0a0568f4fb702530434a773
- Realised P&L
- $-306.70
- Volume
- $57.5k
- Markets traded
- 879
- Open portfolio
- $6.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded879
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.055 | $6.60 | −$39.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.17at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?
- +$85.86at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?
- +$70.19at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
- +$62.95at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23?
- +$58.23at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.65 |
| 07-02 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $12.51 |
| 07-02 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.79 |
| 07-02 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.46 | $12.51 |
| 07-02 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.54 | $12.51 |
| 07-02 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $14.79 |
| 07-02 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.36 | $6.88 |
| 07-02 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $12.51 |
| 07-01 21:41 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0322795184 | $10.51 |
| 07-01 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $12.51 |
| 07-01 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.79 |
| 07-01 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.26 | $14.79 |
| 07-01 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $14.79 |
| 06-30 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.3536690647 | $12.29 |
| 06-30 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.3543959243 | $24.35 |