Herald-PS
0xc5c9f4e998ddeb0818ebf735f8f8b85417b98faf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $217.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $376.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.40at 0.570Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$12.34at 0.280Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
- +$0.73at 0.927Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 01:29 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.1869991572 | $4.60 |
| 05-15 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.80 |
| 05-15 00:51 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.1859999414 | $2.28 |
| 05-15 00:45 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.1923227842 | $7.55 |
| 05-15 00:44 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.1848013433 | $3.82 |
| 05-15 00:41 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.0273476599 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 23:36 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.63 |
| 05-14 23:35 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 23:30 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be between 90 and 95? | BUY | 0.0160759037 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 20:10 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.088999996 | $20.00 |
| 04-01 14:41 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.3198487405 | $69.00 |
| 04-01 14:28 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.3134923994 | $50.00 |
| 03-07 11:08 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.0369999993 | $50.00 |
| 03-07 11:07 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.0359999993 | $50.00 |