PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ahhuat8

0x0cad11457a4a513f0227fcac7fc8b049e41b5dd0

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$240.4k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1810.225$677.19+$130.71
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes0.6050.540$270.00−$32.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1930.175$175.02−$18.44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3950.421$168.45+$10.63
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7300.715$143.00−$3.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9500.945$139.86−$0.74
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6400.645$123.87+$0.96
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.5000.475$118.75−$6.25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7200.715$107.25−$0.75
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.2340.130$106.26−$84.82
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0220.017$106.14−$35.37
Modi out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1790.105$104.95−$74.42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1430.095$95.04−$47.62
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4050.210$69.93−$65.10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2860.125$62.50−$80.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:00Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$140.60
11-01 17:52Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$36.00
11-01 17:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.63$15.47
11-01 17:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?SELL0.25$12.50
11-01 17:48Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$72.00
11-01 17:48Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.73$36.50
11-01 17:48Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.73$109.50
11-01 17:45Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.42$70.14
11-01 17:45Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.419$13.68
11-01 16:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.17$34.00
11-01 16:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.17$21.25
11-01 16:24Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.73$73.00
10-30 17:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.25$12.50
10-30 17:29US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.25$11.75
10-30 17:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.64$138.63