ahhuat8
0x0cad11457a4a513f0227fcac7fc8b049e41b5dd0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $240.4k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$608.36at 0.611US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$568.01at 0.185Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$280.35at 0.446Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$219.62at 0.627US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$186.00at 0.105Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $140.60 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.47 |
| 11-01 17:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.73 | $109.50 |
| 11-01 17:45 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.42 | $70.14 |
| 11-01 17:45 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.419 | $13.68 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $21.25 |
| 11-01 16:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 10-30 17:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 10-30 17:29 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $11.75 |
| 10-30 17:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $138.63 |