PolyBot

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Traders

Guessingkbn-wx

0x859c09ad24cb3c072c5427579e1da0cb8e1a6eaf

Realised P&L
$568.54
Volume
$69.5k
Markets traded
728
Open portfolio
$57.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded728
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0280.074$41.18+$25.46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.3360.420$11.90+$2.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.1200.110$4.17$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$10.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 15:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.12$2.04
09-22 17:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?SELL0.27$8.26
09-22 04:24Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.0465354367$5.00
09-22 04:24Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?BUY0.1634615347$5.00
09-20 14:22Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.97$32.01
09-20 11:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.12$2.40
09-20 11:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.11$3.70
09-20 11:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?SELL0.5386363636$11.85
09-20 10:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?SELL0.56$7.28
09-20 10:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.14$0.84
09-20 10:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?BUY0.15$4.60
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.36$18.00
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.49$2.45
09-20 05:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.4$2.00
09-20 05:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.37$12.95