PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcbffcd0e6995a85f4475e6e2def7f2cb14fdf748

Realised P&L
$-298.96
Volume
$85.0k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$365.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · Yes0.3470.690$180.04+$89.37
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0690.065$68.35$3.83
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0540.026$31.09$32.42
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.3130.125$23.20$34.80
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1100.115$13.07+$0.57
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1010.040$10.12$15.88
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.1280.055$9.12$12.03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3470.155$8.88$11.02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.255$7.34+$2.19
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0700.055$2.41$0.66
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0490.015$2.23$5.27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.125$1.95$0.54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0120.006$1.62$1.37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3430.085$1.55$4.70
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1020.055$1.52$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 21:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.16$2.49
09-09 21:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.03$0.03
09-09 21:50Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1099999987$2.50
09-09 21:49Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.64$3.20
09-09 21:48Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-07 19:30Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.016$0.02
09-07 19:24Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.012$2.99
09-07 19:14Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?BUY0.4188424702$21.00
09-07 19:13Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.1252082785$20.00
09-07 19:12Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.54$56.32
08-27 23:24Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.1899998843$1.15
08-27 23:18Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.149999985$8.00
08-27 23:15Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.49$7.40
07-31 02:27Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?SELL0.13$0.13
07-31 02:25Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.0040528053$0.04