PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xD83fFc4B9C3196EdFF2C07a88E5384CE129b49d8-1776080523265

0xd83ffc4b9c3196edff2c07a88e5384ce129b49d8

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$222.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-20.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1890.183$193.93−$6.07
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3720.055$14.79−$85.21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2000.029$14.25−$85.75
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.5440.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 03:06Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.07$45.19
04-18 18:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
04-15 08:59Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?BUY0.2699999983$89.49
04-15 08:59Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1892443519$200.00
04-14 08:33Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
04-13 12:34Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.4855602632$500.00
04-13 12:29Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.3719098434$100.00
04-13 12:26Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.5441252605$300.00
04-13 12:13Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.3098292831$200.00
04-13 11:53Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?BUY0.1109877913$100.00