0xD83fFc4B9C3196EdFF2C07a88E5384CE129b49d8-1776080523265
0xd83ffc4b9c3196edff2c07a88e5384ce129b49d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $222.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.183 | $193.93 | −$6.07 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.055 | $14.79 | −$85.21 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.029 | $14.25 | −$85.75 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-100.00at 0.111Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
- +$-100.00at 0.420Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-100.00at 0.285Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$-156.50at 0.310Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$-500.00at 0.485Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 03:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $45.19 |
| 04-18 18:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 04-15 08:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $89.49 |
| 04-15 08:59 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1892443519 | $200.00 |
| 04-14 08:33 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 12:34 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.4855602632 | $500.00 |
| 04-13 12:29 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.3719098434 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 12:26 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.5441252605 | $300.00 |
| 04-13 12:13 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.3098292831 | $200.00 |
| 04-13 11:53 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.1109877913 | $100.00 |