5atka
0x1c266db0f8529b1f25b77123e9c0c918ac2f6e31
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $2.42M
- Markets traded
- 5,406
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,406
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.50at 0.711Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
- +$278.79at 0.910Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
- +$231.50at 0.830DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
- +$230.42at 0.810Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
- +$229.50at 0.820Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $997.50 |
| 08-03 11:29 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8751975411 | $656.40 |
| 07-16 14:06 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999996 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 11:16 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.7 | $700.00 |
| 03-30 08:54 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.07 |
| 03-30 08:52 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 03-30 08:50 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.36 |
| 03-30 08:50 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.98 |
| 03-30 08:50 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.61 |
| 03-30 08:46 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.81 |
| 03-30 08:45 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $17.60 |
| 03-30 08:44 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.33 |
| 03-30 08:38 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.67 |
| 03-30 08:33 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.53 |
| 03-30 08:33 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |