PolyBot

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Traders

5atka

0x1c266db0f8529b1f25b77123e9c0c918ac2f6e31

Realised P&L
$10.2k
Volume
$2.42M
Markets traded
5,408
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,408
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.978$2.2k+$120.84
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8750.884$663.38+$6.98
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · No0.5321.000$200.00+$93.60
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.4961.000$199.90+$100.64
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.6441.000$199.90+$71.11
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.6780.983$196.50+$60.94
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8650.970$194.00+$21.04
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.7460.949$189.70+$40.44
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5150.938$187.50+$84.50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8770.915$183.00+$7.67
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · No0.8180.955$182.76+$26.24
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.3840.999$177.50+$109.27
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3010.875$175.00+$114.80
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6770.825$165.00+$29.62
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.4490.815$161.65+$72.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8399999776$27.00
10-08 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8399999993$444.00
10-08 17:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.85$340.00
09-06 10:31Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$997.50
08-03 11:29Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.8751975411$656.40
07-16 14:06Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8999999996$1.1k
07-15 11:16Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalBUY0.7$700.00
03-30 08:54Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$4.07
03-30 08:52Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?BUY0.82$4.10
03-30 08:50Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.47$4.36
03-30 08:50Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.65$3.98
03-30 08:50Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?BUY0.11$6.61
03-30 08:46Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.79$7.81
03-30 08:45Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.39$17.60
03-30 08:44Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?BUY0.12$2.33