PolyBot

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Traders

FrankyFourFingers

0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926

Realised P&L
$-6.9k
Volume
$6.89M
Markets traded
6,700
Open portfolio
$19.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,700
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9490.984$690.90+$24.58
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.6800.970$577.82+$172.50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.715$500.50+$52.50
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9370.948$495.97+$5.85
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.8700.930$465.00+$30.00
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9600.969$423.19+$3.93
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1200.205$410.00+$170.00
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9200.977$404.87+$23.59
Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes0.9430.956$382.40+$5.20
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2600.485$372.18+$172.66
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9500.985$348.69+$12.39
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes0.6710.835$295.79+$58.12
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? · Yes0.9000.982$294.60+$24.60
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat? · Yes0.9200.986$258.70+$17.19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.705$246.04+$95.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.329$329.00
10-25 20:05Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?BUY0.941$197.87
10-25 20:03Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?BUY0.944$198.24
10-25 20:02Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?BUY0.943$113.16
10-25 19:56Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?BUY0.92$184.00
10-25 19:54Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat?BUY0.949$94.90
10-25 19:54Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?BUY0.948$189.60
10-24 20:28Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.278$127.88
10-24 20:27Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.0239326664$14.21
10-24 20:26Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.87$435.00
10-24 20:25Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.13$135.09
10-24 20:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?BUY0.11$110.00
10-24 20:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?BUY0.11$110.00
10-24 20:16Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$153.19
10-24 19:56Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.9324490958$65.49