FrankyFourFingers
0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $6.93M
- Markets traded
- 6,618
- Open portfolio
- $15.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,618
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.023Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.810Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?
- +$904.65at 0.167Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
- +$889.70at 0.070Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
- +$808.21at 0.422Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:12 | Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9427457678 | $252.83 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9363636364 | $51.50 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat? | BUY | 0.98 | $531.20 |
| 09-15 19:05 | Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat? | BUY | 0.9773584699 | $17.89 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 15? | BUY | 0.9403600758 | $14.89 |
| 09-10 22:48 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $269.99 |
| 09-07 18:59 | Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.31 |
| 09-01 19:05 | Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-31 17:28 | Will Trump say "Middleman" or "Middle Man" during healthcare affordability announcement? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.80 |
| 08-31 17:25 | Will Trump say "Neurocrine" during healthcare affordability announcement? | BUY | 0.77 | $33.47 |
| 08-28 19:47 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.70 |
| 08-28 19:44 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.23 | $18.40 |
| 08-27 17:29 | Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 27? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 08-27 16:14 | Will the PQ win 75-79 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |