PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FrankyFourFingers

0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926

Realised P&L
$-6.9k
Volume
$6.93M
Markets traded
6,618
Open portfolio
$15.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,618
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.6800.999$595.11+$189.79
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat? · No0.9800.971$544.09$4.99
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.962$310.74+$6.41
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? · No0.9480.996$298.65+$14.25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5370.525$288.74$6.75
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? · Yes0.9000.950$285.00+$15.00
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes0.6710.715$253.28+$15.61
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat? · Yes0.9200.955$250.70+$9.19
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.2600.325$249.40+$49.88
Maduro guilty of all counts? · No0.6700.795$210.55+$33.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.595$207.66+$57.59
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat? · No0.9410.996$199.10+$10.90
Will Alberta join the US? · No0.9780.979$195.70+$0.10
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8800.970$194.00+$18.00
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat? · Yes0.9000.955$191.00+$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:12Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9427457678$252.83
09-15 19:12Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9363636364$51.50
09-15 19:07Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?BUY0.98$531.20
09-15 19:05Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?BUY0.9773584699$17.89
09-15 19:02Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 15?BUY0.96$480.00
09-15 19:02Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 15?BUY0.9403600758$14.89
09-10 22:48Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.54$269.99
09-07 18:59Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.38$38.31
09-01 19:05Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.12$2.40
08-31 17:28Will Trump say "Middleman" or "Middle Man" during healthcare affordability announcement?BUY0.4$15.80
08-31 17:25Will Trump say "Neurocrine" during healthcare affordability announcement?BUY0.77$33.47
08-28 19:47Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.06$5.70
08-28 19:44Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.23$18.40
08-27 17:29Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 27?SELL0.03$1.20
08-27 16:14Will the PQ win 75-79 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?BUY0.1$2.00