FrankyFourFingers
0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $6.89M
- Markets traded
- 6,700
- Open portfolio
- $19.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,700
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.091Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.0kat 0.810Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?
- +$904.65at 0.167Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
- +$889.70at 0.070Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
- +$808.21at 0.422Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 20:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.329 | $329.00 |
| 10-25 20:05 | Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.941 | $197.87 |
| 10-25 20:03 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.944 | $198.24 |
| 10-25 20:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.943 | $113.16 |
| 10-25 19:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-25 19:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.949 | $94.90 |
| 10-25 19:54 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.948 | $189.60 |
| 10-24 20:28 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.278 | $127.88 |
| 10-24 20:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.0239326664 | $14.21 |
| 10-24 20:26 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 10-24 20:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $135.09 |
| 10-24 20:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 10-24 20:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 10-24 20:16 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $153.19 |
| 10-24 19:56 | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.9324490958 | $65.49 |