emeraldhands
0x271dd4233bd9b3c4726c8bab5a60ca565835d49d
- Realised P&L
- $11.35
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $28.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.190Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
- +$9.20at 0.080US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$8.50at 0.150Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$7.07at 0.156Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
- +$6.90at 0.310Will England win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:12 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 20:04 | Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.77 |
| 10-25 19:54 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 20:35 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-08 15:36 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.82 |
| 02-15 13:48 | T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) | BUY | 0.2675609756 | $10.97 |
| 02-05 19:09 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.49 |
| 02-05 19:08 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 01-29 20:39 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.80 |
| 01-12 19:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.40 |
| 01-12 19:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.14 |
| 01-12 17:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 01-10 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 20:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | BUY | 0.004781797 | $1.23 |
| 01-05 12:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |