climateprofessor
0x21413203b0be620ebc9dc236a152413923287fa2
- Realised P&L
- $-532.96
- Volume
- $237.6k
- Markets traded
- 505
- Open portfolio
- $790.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded505
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$488.73at 0.022Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$432.69at 0.077Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
- +$312.87at 0.320Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$297.69at 0.135Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$275.06at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $368.96 |
| 09-17 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $151.34 |
| 09-16 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.81 | $207.19 |
| 09-16 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9282912621 | $47.81 |
| 09-16 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-16 21:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $399.59 |
| 09-16 21:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.88 |
| 09-16 15:51 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.0642882758 | $22.30 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $111.86 |
| 09-16 14:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.32 | $29.76 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 23:47 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.81 | $94.02 |
| 09-15 14:24 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |