PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609

0x74e68d8fbdc0bab0e004ad529be87981e0b44f6c

Realised P&L
$192.51
Volume
$55.6k
Markets traded
273
Open portfolio
$42.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded273
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:40Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.71$7.10
10-19 14:57Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.25$8.13
10-06 14:53Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.08$2.20
10-05 20:00Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.79$7.90
10-05 19:51Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.65$26.00
10-05 19:48Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.35875$28.70
10-05 19:43Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.38$30.40
10-01 20:27Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.81$7.87
10-01 20:26Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.83$11.85
09-30 19:19Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.139999993$2.00
09-30 14:53Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.66$5.59
09-27 16:44Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.42$5.38
09-26 21:08Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-26 21:08Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5142710208$5.00
09-26 21:07Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5899999705$5.00