0x74E68D8FbdC0baB0E004ad529Be87981e0B44f6C-1770312721609
0x74e68d8fbdc0bab0e004ad529be87981e0b44f6c
- Realised P&L
- $192.51
- Volume
- $55.6k
- Markets traded
- 273
- Open portfolio
- $42.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded273
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.08at 0.646Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?
- +$35.87at 0.499Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
- +$33.52at 0.500Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$31.35at 0.215CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
- +$28.90at 0.070Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:40 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 10-19 14:57 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $8.13 |
| 10-06 14:53 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.20 |
| 10-05 20:00 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 10-05 19:51 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 10-05 19:48 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.35875 | $28.70 |
| 10-05 19:43 | Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |
| 10-01 20:27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.81 | $7.87 |
| 10-01 20:26 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.83 | $11.85 |
| 09-30 19:19 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 14:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.66 | $5.59 |
| 09-27 16:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.38 |
| 09-26 21:08 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5142710208 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 21:07 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |