PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95A0391528eA3D85d930Dc-1768035893942

0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95a0391528ea3d85d930dc

Realised P&L
$-161.17
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$18.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4880.073$6.41−$36.12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3740.055$6.37−$36.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3200.045$2.85−$17.39
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4300.145$1.69−$3.31
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? · Yes0.6900.685$0.99−$0.01
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$6.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$6.34
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$5.00
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9090.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) · Los Ratones0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) · Deep Cross Gaming0.9100.000$0.00−$6.91
Will a hurricane form by May 31? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$36.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-05 19:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.32$20.23
02-05 19:47Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.19$20.23
01-31 05:52Will a hurricane form by May 31?BUY0.12$6.51
01-31 05:51Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?SELL0.998$6.51
01-25 16:28Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.3899999887$9.31
01-25 16:27Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?SELL0.6$4.41
01-25 16:27Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.51$4.90
01-25 07:07Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2999999953$31.94
01-25 07:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.58$30.31
01-20 06:33Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.3699999967$34.00
01-20 06:33Will a hurricane form by May 31?BUY0.0731821393$30.40
01-20 06:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.36$23.56
01-20 06:32Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.0089449418$13.68
01-20 06:32US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.36$28.42
01-20 06:30Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.0281175911$43.00