0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95A0391528eA3D85d930Dc-1768035893942
0x688f5d93bb6085f29e95a0391528ea3d85d930dc
- Realised P&L
- $-161.17
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $18.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.31at 0.290US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.53at 0.503Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$1.51at 0.766Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$1.33at 0.790Will "Trump" be said 3+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
- +$1.04at 0.560Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 19:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.23 |
| 02-05 19:47 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $20.23 |
| 01-31 05:52 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.51 |
| 01-31 05:51 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.51 |
| 01-25 16:28 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999887 | $9.31 |
| 01-25 16:27 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.41 |
| 01-25 16:27 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.90 |
| 01-25 07:07 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999953 | $31.94 |
| 01-25 07:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $30.31 |
| 01-20 06:33 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999967 | $34.00 |
| 01-20 06:33 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | BUY | 0.0731821393 | $30.40 |
| 01-20 06:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $23.56 |
| 01-20 06:32 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.0089449418 | $13.68 |
| 01-20 06:32 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $28.42 |
| 01-20 06:30 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.0281175911 | $43.00 |