MrMarket
0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114
- Realised P&L
- $18.8k
- Volume
- $8.57M
- Markets traded
- 671
- Open portfolio
- $79.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded671
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.9kat 0.889Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$7.7kat 0.186Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.1kat 0.390Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.345Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$4.9kat 0.777Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $575.45 |
| 09-12 17:09 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $393.24 |
| 09-08 06:32 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $472.55 |
| 09-08 06:23 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.73 |
| 08-20 01:03 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $43.17 |
| 08-17 20:27 | Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $11.00 |
| 08-15 00:55 | Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $134.40 |
| 08-14 14:29 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.224 | $157.53 |
| 08-14 13:06 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $114.63 |
| 08-14 08:23 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $36.47 |
| 08-14 05:32 | Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? | BUY | 0.999 | $224.78 |
| 08-14 05:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.82 |
| 08-14 05:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%? | BUY | 0.9988511838 | $885.98 |
| 08-14 05:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.9985712522 | $1.2k |
| 08-14 05:30 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | BUY | 0.999 | $792.39 |