PolyBot

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Traders

MrMarket

0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114

Realised P&L
$18.8k
Volume
$8.57M
Markets traded
671
Open portfolio
$79.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded671
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8780.961$17.6k+$1.5k
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · No0.6340.740$14.8k+$2.1k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0850.182$6.6k+$3.5k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.015$6.4k$3.4k
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · No0.8910.955$4.3k+$289.39
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.3600.355$2.1k$30.08
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.015$2.0k$30.49
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3520.345$1.8k$34.42
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0370.054$1.7k+$566.31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3640.305$1.5k$296.11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4500.595$1.4k+$352.43
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7720.905$1.3k+$196.20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? · No0.9360.955$1.0k+$20.37
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1450.135$1.0k$76.67
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.009$1.0k$109.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 05:16Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$575.45
09-12 17:09Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$393.24
09-08 06:32Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$472.55
09-08 06:23Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$4.73
08-20 01:03Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.005$43.17
08-17 20:27Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?SELL0.1$11.00
08-15 00:55Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?BUY0.84$134.40
08-14 14:29Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.224$157.53
08-14 13:06Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.013$114.63
08-14 08:23Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$36.47
08-14 05:32Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?BUY0.999$224.78
08-14 05:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 10%?BUY0.999$174.82
08-14 05:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?BUY0.9988511838$885.98
08-14 05:32Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?BUY0.9985712522$1.2k
08-14 05:30Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BUY0.999$792.39