MrMarket
0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114
- Realised P&L
- $18.1k
- Volume
- $8.78M
- Markets traded
- 730
- Open portfolio
- $83.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded730
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.9kat 0.889Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$7.7kat 0.186Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.1kat 0.390Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.345Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$4.9kat 0.777Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:14 | Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $57.09 |
| 10-27 12:10 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.062 | $170.41 |
| 10-27 12:09 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.161 | $30.10 |
| 10-27 12:07 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $208.89 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $19.94 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $181.27 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.31 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1525234815 | $7.31 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-27 12:06 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 10-24 22:39 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.13 |
| 10-24 22:39 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 10-24 18:52 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $1.1k |
| 10-21 17:05 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.69 |