PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-05
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.038. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.052. Range 0.038 to 0.057. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.040157157
0.04160217
0.0424,1004,317
0.0446975,014
0.0452735,287
0.0474205,706
0.0482005,906
0.0492,8778,784
0.0501,24710,031
0.0513,51013,541
0.0521,35114,892
0.0535,00019,892

Spread0.003Mid0.038

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.037104104
0.035155258
0.0342,0852,343
0.0331,9984,341
0.0313024,643
0.0307305,373
0.0293175,690
0.0271,0226,712
0.0268117,523
0.0231,1328,655
0.0223418,996
0.0201069,102

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.963104104
0.965155258
0.9662,0852,343
0.9671,9984,341
0.9693024,643
0.9707305,373
0.9713175,690
0.9731,0226,712
0.9748117,523
0.9771,1328,655
0.9783418,996
0.9801069,102

Spread0.003Mid0.962

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.960157157
0.95960217
0.9584,1004,317
0.9566975,014
0.9552735,287
0.9534205,706
0.9522005,906
0.9512,8778,784
0.9501,24710,031
0.9493,51013,541
0.9481,35114,892
0.9475,00019,892

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
UnreasonableAwarenessYes298,981.54
LeopoldAschenboogerYes128,097.95
occasionalAwarenessYes11,030.19
0xa0330288693bfC18dFCAD3B00f678C834dB28613-1772673132969Yes8,707.63
DualDeltaYes8,248.2
djfhdjfhdjfhdjYes7,667.44
LordProtectorYes6,751.09
poluser2026Yes4,078.79
balthazarYes1,507.22
AlmostNoAwarenessYes996.35
SuperTestsYes739.2
andreseurodr76Yes600
AnjunYes555.01
xtxpleasecallmeYes475.78
TougeYes429.76
BabyGrootYes410
LornaPredictsYes282.37
TopDogYes214.29
0x8b6c…b2d8Yes202.92
thecaricatureYes200.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:22:36BUYNo0.965100$96.50
05:20:40SELLYes0.03750$1.85
05:20:33BUYNo0.96250$48.10
05:20:33BUYNo0.95973935153,607$3462.08
05:20:33BUYNo0.961312$299.70
17:02:25BUYNo0.9572445107204$195.75
16:40:51BUYNo0.956273$260.72
16:01:00SELLNo0.95114$13.29
16:00:46SELLNo0.95210$9.51
16:00:00BUYNo0.953999935514$13.37
15:59:43BUYNo0.953999921910$9.55
13:50:31BUYNo0.954155$147.70
12:11:18BUYNo0.95399959772$1.57
07:07:55BUYYes0.0492815997203$10.00
22:53:36SELLNo0.95220$19.06
22:52:58BUYNo0.955999976220$19.14
16:25:43BUYNo0.95493$88.59
16:25:30BUYNo0.9531,050$1000.65
03:42:58SELLNo0.9496$5.69
03:42:36BUYNo0.95399989016$5.73
03:13:00SELLNo0.9496$5.69
03:12:39BUYNo0.95399989016$5.73
03:08:01SELLNo0.9496$5.69
03:07:37BUYNo0.95399989016$5.73
00:33:37SELLNo0.9496$5.69