PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.079. down 0.055 over the period, from 0.134. Range 0.077 to 0.134. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0806,2046,204
0.0812006,404
0.0861,2507,654
0.0872197,873
0.0891,0008,873
0.0902,17811,051
0.0912,00013,051
0.09272013,771
0.0943,35017,121
0.09510,00027,121
0.0962,00029,121
0.09913229,253

Spread0.002Mid0.079

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0785050
0.07758108
0.076470578
0.075350928
0.0741001,028
0.0737071,735
0.0721,2903,025
0.0711,8024,827
0.0704055,232
0.0684405,672
0.067505,722
0.0663006,022

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9225050
0.92358108
0.924470578
0.925350928
0.9261001,028
0.9277071,735
0.9281,2903,025
0.9291,8024,827
0.9304055,232
0.9324405,672
0.933505,722
0.9343006,022

Spread0.002Mid0.921

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9206,2046,204
0.9192006,404
0.9141,2507,654
0.9132197,873
0.9111,0008,873
0.9102,17811,051
0.9092,00013,051
0.90872013,771
0.9063,35017,121
0.90510,00027,121
0.9042,00029,121
0.90113229,253

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
UnreasonableAwarenessYes298,981.54
LeopoldAschenboogerYes93,173.65
minionguyYes42,469.66
occasionalAwarenessYes11,030.19
AlmostNoAwarenessYes9,646.5
0xa0330288693bfC18dFCAD3B00f678C834dB28613-1772673132969Yes8,707.63
DualDeltaYes8,248.2
djfhdjfhdjfhdjYes7,667.44
0x4dF63E746b71d3a8eYes5,751.69
rosyprosperityYes4,078.79
LordProtectorYes3,456.59
balthazarYes2,046.35
79VBB9Yes1,707.34
SuperTestsYes632.98
andreseurodr76Yes600
LornaPredictsYes282.37
TopDogYes214.29
cc416Yes200
acuellarFYes200
goog-ly-6-1Yes160

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:31:49SELLYes0.08150$12.00
16:57:40SELLYes0.0822,332$191.22
16:51:10BUYNo0.91874$67.93
16:51:10SELLYes0.083372$30.86
15:18:24BUYNo0.91699999632$2.00
10:56:40BUYNo0.918666$611.39
10:56:16BUYNo0.918500$459.00
10:56:01BUYNo0.915100$91.49
02:25:52BUYNo0.915100$91.50
20:39:55SELLYes0.08250$4.10
20:39:49SELLYes0.0828369231650$53.84
20:39:49SELLYes0.0825100$8.25
20:39:46BUYNo0.9121,052$959.66
16:57:02SELLNo0.913$3.12
16:41:00SELLNo0.9150$45.50
11:00:04SELLYes0.088109$9.59
10:49:43BUYYes0.09109$9.81
10:41:37SELLYes0.08835$3.08
10:39:18SELLYes0.08825$2.20
10:12:24BUYYes0.0960$5.40
07:57:25BUYNo0.911999940211$10.00
01:36:06SELLYes0.088650$4.43
01:34:55SELLYes0.0902891433379$34.23
00:43:54SELLNo0.89850$44.90
00:43:51SELLNo0.89847863532,806$2520.94