PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

Realised P&L
$1.15M
Volume
$104.21M
Markets traded
1,022
Open portfolio
$174.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,022
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:54Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.81$1.1k
09-15 17:18Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?BUY0.1455976451$120.69
09-15 16:09Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$68.01
09-13 14:15Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.89$534.00
09-13 10:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.89$3.9k
09-13 08:30Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.017$19.12
09-12 19:39Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.030896$15.45
09-11 07:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.84$3.8k
09-09 20:55Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?SELL0.12$120.00
09-08 18:17Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.6544510978$32.79
09-08 17:32Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.6463359165$2.4k
09-08 17:30Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.7$34.93
09-08 17:29Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8707996612$8.2k
09-08 08:37Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$107.52
09-07 05:04Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.997$5.0k