PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b6cbd0dbb12cb35907dbd89c69d67cf9cdab2d8

0x8b6cbd0dbb12cb35907dbd89c69d67cf9cdab2d8

Realised P&L
$-163.36
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$20.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.4200.340$12.14−$2.86
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0490.039$7.91−$2.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:07Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.0492815997$10.00
10-31 21:10Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?SELL0.0397494314$16.78
10-31 18:33Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.0443271559$18.71
08-16 19:55Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3$15.00
08-14 07:00Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.05$15.00
08-14 06:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.4199999922$15.00
07-19 21:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9269999949$4.00
07-19 21:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.122$4.56
07-19 21:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2664726513$9.95
07-19 21:14Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.198$10.76
07-15 20:45Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.329999964$5.96
07-15 20:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.081$6.49
07-14 20:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999904$15.55
07-14 20:23Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.238$12.05
07-14 20:21Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.051$4.50