djfhdjfhdjfhdj
0x2c89c4edf80b95f7499dfb97e3f00ee7e89b5f1c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $254.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $15.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.388US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.220US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.543US military action against Iran before July?
- +$1.1kat 0.810US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.414US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 09:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3861595047 | $935.21 |
| 08-17 09:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5716432895 | $2.0k |
| 08-17 09:38 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1091756895 | $154.75 |
| 08-17 09:38 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4947650386 | $2.8k |
| 08-13 18:38 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099384737 | $2.7k |
| 08-13 18:36 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5797440922 | $300.00 |
| 08-13 18:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3484001458 | $300.00 |
| 08-13 18:34 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6912007739 | $2.0k |
| 08-13 18:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5742295813 | $1.0k |
| 08-13 18:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.096 | $600.00 |
| 08-13 18:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3265838282 | $2.0k |
| 08-13 18:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4070622103 | $900.00 |
| 08-03 14:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.9736561511 | $6.3k |
| 07-03 21:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999999 | $2.4k |
| 07-03 20:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.5k |