UnreasonableAwareness
0x9afda7ae5c6afadcb500ce0274312e0fe7ba574b
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $719.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $87.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.205 | $38.9k | −$14.2k |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.430 | $28.0k | +$18.2k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.044 | $13.3k | −$17.8k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.035 | $5.3k | −$4.4k |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.429 | $940.30 | +$596.46 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.265 | $874.80 | −$124.52 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.070 | $352.50 | +$187.53 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.015 | $65.29 | −$240.07 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.026 | $6.23 | +$3.18 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 12:06 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.097 | $4.8k |
| 08-23 00:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.8k |
| 08-23 00:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.063 | $36.34 |
| 08-22 12:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.7k |
| 08-22 11:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.058 | $26.76 |
| 08-22 00:40 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.059 | $20.65 |
| 08-21 16:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2888347322 | $7.2k |
| 08-21 16:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.17 |
| 08-21 16:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $171.53 |
| 08-21 13:37 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.062 | $34.14 |
| 08-20 18:26 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1179957184 | $5.9k |
| 08-20 11:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.6k |
| 08-20 11:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099231295 | $7.1k |
| 08-20 11:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0698849693 | $4.1k |
| 08-19 13:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.31996817 | $3.2k |